Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LPT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 9.150965 10.769149 12.551906 14.656448 17.067435 19.737505 22.912517
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 6.687230 8.763858 11.269151 14.492845 18.507267 23.316216 29.484755
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 5.282297 7.590174 10.596411 14.750753 20.286285 27.344875 36.951893
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 4.234014 6.605359 9.910784 14.770447 21.630795 30.850122 44.029525
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 3.475349 5.842096 9.348166 14.793258 22.877094 34.242394 51.182302
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 2.769942 5.004705 8.513811 14.252944 23.182391 36.269081 56.530591
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 2.337189 4.508358 8.100740 14.251887 24.223799 39.374104 63.609182
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 1.988149 4.081964 7.721982 14.227601 25.182228 42.383094 70.726065
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 1.830554 3.966262 7.839612 15.018120 27.496868 47.635255 81.640790
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 1.670787 3.814928 7.865922 15.639137 29.566302 52.629976 92.477940
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 1.543192 3.702736 7.942614 16.345729 31.827508 58.079777 104.394368
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 1.348922 3.415042 7.642365 16.314133 32.768682 61.371870 112.945639
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 1.111414 2.991956 7.024013 15.621579 32.479740 62.600206 118.226214
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.924639 2.645473 6.508869 15.062895 32.375039 64.129965 124.125560
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.819306 2.473041 6.337756 15.177500 33.559448 68.038475 134.447947
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.717676 2.287738 6.108730 15.137872 34.426554 71.413893 144.016649
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.632506 2.127116 5.910879 15.137586 35.363710 74.972293 154.127725
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.528707 1.888961 5.488285 14.577123 35.076007 76.153409 159.865151
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.467380 1.760811 5.317384 14.572489 35.960301 79.665510 170.217529
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.412988 1.640595 5.147229 14.546317 36.789023 83.112909 180.637807
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.397887 1.644955 5.310036 15.351857 39.535760 90.610071 199.401530
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.376745 1.624100 5.400381 15.984805 41.940024 97.545655 217.415502
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 0.359779 1.614163 5.520076 16.705068 44.601708 105.171558 237.207152